Saturday, June 4, 2011

Theory and Hypothesis


THEORY 
A theory is an attempt to develop a general explanation for some phenomenon. It is a well-established principle that has been developed to explain some aspect of the natural world. 
It defines non-observable constructs (mental abstractions such as personality, creativity, intelligence, etc.) that are inferred from observable facts and events and that are thought to have an effect on the phenomenon under study. A theory describes the relationship among key variables for purposes of explaining a current state or predicting future occurrences. A theory is primarily concerned with explanation and therefore focuses on determining cause-effect relationships.
A theory arises from repeated observation and testing and incorporates facts, laws, predictions, and tested hypotheses that are widely accepted.

Researchers engaged in pure/basic research devote their energies to the formulation and reformulation of theories and may not be concerned with their practical applications. However, when a theory has been established, it may suggest many applications of practical value. Indeed, ‘there is nothing more practical than a good theory’ (John Dewey).

HYPOTHESIS
A hypothesis is the researcher’s tentative predictions of the results of the research findings. Hypothesis is a specific, testable prediction about what the researcher expects to happen in her/his study. For example, a study designed to look at the relationship between study habits and test anxiety might have a hypothesis that states, ‘This study is designed to assess the hypothesis that students with better study habits will suffer less test anxiety.’ Unless the study is exploratory in nature, the hypothesis should always explain what the researcher expects to happen during the course of her/his experiment or research.
While the terms are sometimes used interchangeably in general practice, the difference between a theory and a hypothesis is important when studying experimental design. Some important distinctions to note include:
• A theory predicts events in general terms, while a hypothesis makes a specific prediction about a specified set of circumstances.


• A theory has been extensively tested and is generally accepted, while a hypothesis is a speculative guess that has yet to be tested.

Hypotheses are more common in quantitative than qualitative research. Hypotheses are formulated prior to the execution of the study. They are formulated on the basis of the knowledge gained from a theory or review of related literature. 

Functions of Hypotheses
In scientific inquiry, hypotheses serve two important functions; the development of theory, and the statement of parts of an existing theory in testable form.
Hypotheses formulation is considered as the first of the six levels of theory generation (Snow, 1973). 
The most common use of hypotheses is to test whether an existing theory can be used to solve a problem.

Characteristics of a Good Hypothesis
• A good hypothesis is based on a sound rationale; it is not a ‘wild guess’ but a reasoned prediction. It is a tentative but rational explanation for the predicted outcome.
• A good hypothesis states as clearly as possible the expected relationship or difference between two variables in measurable terms.
• A well stated and defined hypothesis must be testable.

Types of Hypotheses
Inductive Hypothesis is a generalization made from a number of observations.

Deductive Hypothesis is derived from theory and is aimed at providing evidence that supports, expands, or contradicts aspects of a given theory.

Research Hypothesis (H) is a formal affirmative statement predicting a single research outcome. It is a statement regarding the expected relationship or difference between two variables. It states the relationship the researcher expects to verify through the collection and analysis of data. 

• For example, a number of years ago the hypothesis was formulated that ‘there is a positive causal relationship between cigarette smoking and the incidence of coronary heart disease’. In behavioural sciences one might propose the hypothesis that ‘UGC-NET aspirants taught research methodology through discussion and problem solving method would score better in the UGC-NET exam than those taught through the conventional method’.
Research hypotheses can be Nondirectional, Directional or Null.

Nondirectional Hypothesis indicates that a relationship or difference exists but does not indicate the direction of the difference.

Directional Hypothesis indicates that a relationship or difference exists and indicates the direction of the difference.

Null Hypothesis (N) is a statement of the research hypothesis in negative or null form. It states that there will be no significant relationship or difference between variables. For example, the statement that ‘there is no positive causal relationship between cigarette smoking and the incidence of coronary heart disease’; or, ‘there will be no significant difference between the UGC-NET exam scores of UGC-NET aspirants taught research methodology through discussion and problem solving method or the conventional method’.
• The Null hypothesis relates to a statistical method of interpreting conclusions about population characteristics that are inferred from the variable relationships observed in samples. 
• The null hypothesis asserts that the observed differences or relationships result merely from chance errors inherent in the sampling process. 
• Most hypotheses are the opposite of the Null hypothesis. In such a case if the researcher rejects the Null hypothesis, s/he accepts the research hypothesis, concluding that the magnitude of the observed variable relationship is probably too great to attribute to sampling error. 

6 comments:

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  2. omg sir....tnk God ye xam m nii ayaa...wrna dukh hota ye blog thoda late se dekhne kaa...

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  3. Koi nahi... 'der aayad, durust aayad'(better late than never)

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  4. Finally proper definition of hypothesis..and I understood before hte exam..thanks a lot sir..I hope this comes in the exam

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  5. Hmm.... you are Welcome Divya!!
    All the very best for your exams!!

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